Remember a few weeks ago, when some field reporter (I think from Fox) stood on the shores of lake Pontchartrain and breathlessly hyped “wind gusts up to 30 knots”? Well, those of us who live here, and those of us who regularly fish on Pontchartrain know that 25-30 knots is really no big deal. Think it’s all just harmless hype? Well, go read the National Weather Service Hurricane local statement for New Orleans. Then ask yourself - what if just a few people stay behind because they’ve been told “it’s the big one” purely to push ratings just one too many times.
The Hurricane Local Statement is automatically updated, so here’s how it opens as of 6:06PM Central time:
…DIRECT STRIKE OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE THREATENING
HURRICANE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY…
Not good for a city surrounded by tidal basins and where about 70% of the structures are actually below sea level. Just how bad the situation may really be comes to light when you read the storm surge and storm tide impact statement:
…STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS…
KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO COAST AS A CATASTROPHIC AND LIFE THREATENING HURRICANE. WHILE
EXACT LANDFALL OF LANDFALL IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME…SIGNIFICANT
AND LIFE THREATENING STORM SURGE 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. A FEW
AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING AS HIGH AS 28 FEET ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF
WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SECONDARY ROADS OUTSIDE LEVEE
PROTECTION WILL LIKELY BECOME IMPASSABLE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
Storm surges of 20 feet will definitely crest the levee system. Parts of New Orleans may be underwater for months, the sewer systems are going to be severely impacted, and did you ever wonder why our graveyards look like this in coastal Louisiana?